Ryan Vanzo, The Motley Fool
Wed, June 24, 2026 astatine 5:15 AM CDT 5 min read
Space Exploration Technologies (NASDAQ: SPCX) conscionable executed 1 of the biggest and astir successful IPOs successful history. After going nationalist astatine a $1.77 trillion valuation, the company's marketplace headdress instantly soared supra $2.5 trillion. Not atrocious for a concern that generated a $4.9 cardinal nonaccomplishment successful 2025, and different $4.3 cardinal nonaccomplishment successful the archetypal 4th of this year.
As the aged adage says, however, what goes up indispensable travel down. Only 4.2% of SpaceX's outstanding shares are presently tradable connected nationalist markets, and this constricted interval makes the banal much prone to volatile ups and downs. That's precisely what we've seen with SpaceX banal frankincense far. After zooming from $150 per stock to astir $220 per stock successful a substance of days, SpaceX banal has settled backmost down to astir $160 per stock adjacent marketplace adjacent connected Tuesday -- a 27% driblet besides occurring implicit a substance of days.
Missed Nvidia successful 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" awesome flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the archetypal clip successful years, that aforesaid "Total Conviction" awesome is flashing for a institution 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Should you beryllium buying the dip? That each comes down to however you reply 1 question.
SpaceX investors should inquire themselves this question
Here's the question: Do you deliberation orbital information centers volition ever exist? Yes, SpaceX is generating humble profits successful its rocket division. Yes, its Starlink net work is besides profitable. However, neither rockets nor Starlink volition ever warrant SpaceX's valuation connected their own. Even SpaceX admits arsenic much. The company's estimated full addressable marketplace for those 2 divisions totals conscionable $2 trillion. That's substantially less than the company's full marketplace headdress today.
In reality, SpaceX's valuation is lone justified if the institution is capable to turn its AI part substantially. SpaceX believes that AI unsocial presents a $26.5 trillion opportunity, compared to conscionable $2 trillion for rockets and Starlink combined.
How precisely volition SpaceX turn its AI business? Most of this maturation volition stem from 1 opportunity: Roughly $22.7 trillion of SpaceX's claimed $26.5 trillion maturation imaginable successful AI is exclusively related to "enterprise applications." Enterprises are businesses, and the word is rather a catchall. According to SpaceX's IPO prospectus:
For enterprises and governments, frontier models and agentic AI -- autonomous systems susceptible of multi-step reasoning and autarkic task execution -- are opening to negociate progressively analyzable processes and workflows. As of February 2026, much than 80% of Fortune 500 companies were utilizing AI progressive agents. Entire industries are being reshaped by AI-driven applications, including agentic commerce (personalized AI-directed shopping), vibe coding (software improvement with minimal oregon nary human-written code), and autonomous driving for vehicles.

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