Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins betting preview: why the over 8 is the play tonight

We are astir halfway done August, and determination are immoderate teams that truly request to marque a propulsion if they program to person a existent tally astatine a postseason spot. We've seen immoderate precise blistery and precise acold stretches from a assortment of teams this season, truthful who volition beryllium next? The National League has its divisions fundamentally acceptable with the Dodgers, Braves, and Brewers looking similar they volition seashore to the decorativeness line. Both the Pirates and the Marlins are hoping to bargain 1 of those remaining Wild Card spots.

The Pittsburgh Pirates look to person ebbed and flowed each season. There were stretches wherever they looked similar 1 of the amended teams successful the league. Their hitting issues that were addressed successful the offseason person been importantly amended this year. However, their pitching has struggled. Even their superstar, Paul Skenes, has had a spot of a down year. His numbers are inactive strong, but they are the worst of his young career. If the Pirates tin get immoderate performances retired of their different starters, they mightiness person a blistery streak near successful them.

Pittsburgh Pirates' Konnor Griffin breaks his bat connected a propulsion from San Diego Padres pitcher Germán Márquez and grounds retired to extremity the bottommost of the 2nd inning successful Pittsburgh connected April 6, 2026. (Gene J. Puskar/AP)

One feline that they request to measurement up is today's hurler, Carmen Mlodzinski. For the year, Mlodzinski is 6-4 for the twelvemonth with a 3.51 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP. He has been amended connected the roadworthy with a 3.10 ERA, and helium has started 2 much games connected the road. However, helium has conscionable 1.1 much innings connected the roadworthy than astatine location this year. Mlodzinski is fundamentally an opener for the Pirates. He hasn't thrown much than 3 innings successful immoderate of his past 12 outings (varying betwixt starts and alleviation appearances). Marlins hitters person lone gotten 4 at-bats against him, but each 4 hitters went 0-for-1.

The Miami Marlins person softly enactment unneurotic a bully campaign. You wouldn't truly cognize it due to the fact that successful this part astir everyone volition get much attraction than them. It doesn't assistance that the franchise seems to ever commercialized distant immoderate bully subordinate and doesn't put successful their team. Maybe that's much of a idiosyncratic thought oregon frustration. In immoderate case, the Marlins are 61-59 for the play and person been large astatine home. With the Braves and Phillies up of them, and the Mets being large markets, it is imaginable to suffer show of the Marlins.

Miami Marlins pitcher Janson Junk speaks with catcher Brian Navarreto successful the 3rd inning of a crippled against the Atlanta Braves connected Thursday, Aug. 6, 2026, successful Atlanta. (AP Photo/Mike Stewart)

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Today they nonstop retired immoderate Junk to the mound. Bad jokes aside, Janson Junk takes the elevation for Miami today. For the season, Junk is sitting with a 5-7 grounds and a 4.63 ERA. He has conscionable 62 strikeouts and a 1.36 WHIP implicit 81.2 innings. Most of the harm has been done by hits alternatively of walks, truthful determination isn't overmuch of a power issue. He doesn't transportation overmuch much than 5 innings, typically. He hasn't thrown much than 5 innings successful immoderate of his past 8 outings. Aside from a six-run outing successful July, helium besides hasn't allowed much than 2 earned runs successful a commencement since May 25th (he missed each of June). Pirates hitters are 3-for-8 against Junk.

Miami Marlins' Kyle Stowers (28) celebrates winning a shot crippled against the New York Yankees with Otto Lopez (6), Saturday, Aug. 2, 2025, successful Miami. (AP Photo/Jim Rassol)

This should beryllium a crippled wherever we get immoderate discourtesy and immoderate action. Neither pitcher is successful a class wherever I would telephone them un-hittable. Neither squad is apt to person their starter/opener spell excessively heavy into the game, either. Miami does person a amended bullpen than Pittsburgh, truthful that mightiness beryllium a crushed to stake connected them to win, but I deliberation we spot much than 8 runs scored successful this game. Give maine the Marlins and Pirates implicit 8 tonight.

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For much sports betting accusation and plays, travel David connected X/Twitter: @futureprez2024