Rich Duprey
Tue, August 11, 2026 astatine 10:41 AM CDT 4 min read
Quick Read
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Memory's stock of the iPhone Pro's measure of materials surged from 10% to 34% successful 1 year, forcing Apple to rise iPhone prices up to $300.
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Micron surged 202% twelvemonth to day with 346% gross growth, portion Qualcomm's handset gross fell 20% arsenic representation costs crush smartphone volumes.
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Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) has already pushed iPhone prices higher by arsenic overmuch arsenic $300 successful effect to what CEO Tim Cook described arsenic a "100-year flood" successful representation prices. According to a caller TrendForce smartphone manufacture study published August 10, 2026, that compression is lone beginning.
The Memory Math Is Getting Ugly
TrendForce estimates memory's stock of the iPhone Pro measure of materials has climbed from astir 10% a twelvemonth agone connected the iPhone 17 Pro to astir 34% successful Q3 2026, and is expected to transcend 40% successful the archetypal fractional of 2027. For the iPhone 18 Pro 256GB, TrendForce estimates the BOM outgo volition emergence astir 38% twelvemonth implicit year. Contract representation prices person risen 5 to sevenfold since the commencement of 2025.
TrendForce's conclusion: "escalating constituent costs, led by memory, are expected to importantly rise accumulation expenses for Apple's adjacent iPhone 18 series... making higher retail prices unavoidable. Apple whitethorn offset immoderate of these costs by reducing gross margins to forestall weakening user demand."
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How Exposed Is Apple?
Every meaningful Apple merchandise contains memory, and iPhone unsocial generated $54.25 cardinal successful the June quarter, portion of $109.42 cardinal successful full revenue. Cook flagged the unit connected the March-quarter call: "For the June quarter, we expect importantly higher representation costs... beyond the June quarter, we judge representation costs volition thrust an expanding interaction connected our business." June-quarter gross borderline guidance was acceptable astatine 47.5% to 48.5%. Jefferies downgraded Apple to Underperform with a $263.66 target, citing "rising representation costs and the cancellation of an 'all-glass iPhone' that would person helped summation mean selling prices." Apple shares commercialized astatine $306.32, up 13.7% twelvemonth to date.
Who Benefits, Who Bleeds
Memory suppliers are printing money. Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) posted fiscal Q3 gross of $41.456 billion, up 345.7% twelvemonth implicit year, with GAAP gross borderline of 84.6%. CFO Mark Murphy said Q2 DRAM prices roseate successful the mid-sixties percent scope and NAND prices successful the high-seventies percent range. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra warned Micron is lone fulfilling "50% to two-thirds" of cardinal lawsuit demand. Shares are up 201.86% twelvemonth to date. South Korea's SK Hynix, the different large DRAM supplier to Apple, is capturing akin gains.

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