American Express Keeps Saying the Affluent Consumer Is Fine. Should Investors Trust It?

1 week ago 8

James Brumley, The Motley Fool

Wed, June 24, 2026 astatine 12:33 PM CDT 4 min read

High-net-worth households are holding up successful an inflation-riddled situation that's making beingness hard for everyone else.

That's the large takeaway from American Express' (NYSE: AXP) astir caller quarterly net league call, anyway. Without outright saying it, during the call, CFO Christophe Le Caillec commented: "We expect paper interest maturation to prime up arsenic the twelvemonth progresses arsenic we spot the interaction from the Platinum refresh, exiting the twelvemonth successful the precocious teens." He past added: "Importantly, astir one‑fourth of the wide U.S. user Platinum portfolio has been billed for the higher yearly fee, and we person seen nary alteration to our precise precocious retention rates comparative to pre‑refresh."

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Person utilizing recognition  paper  astatine  beachside cafe.

Image source: Getty Images.

Its fiscal results corroborate this. The recognition paper company's currency-adjusted gross improved 9% twelvemonth implicit twelvemonth for the 3 months ended successful March connected a comparable summation successful transaction volume, driving nett income 15% higher. Restaurant spending and retail spending were up 9% and 11%, respectively, with the second led by a 18% year-over-year betterment successful luxury retail purchases. Delinquencies and write-offs stay comparatively debased arsenic well, not budging from year-ago levels.

It's not conscionable American Express seeing this resiliency among the affluent, either.

Government reports look to corroborate American Express' findings

The United States Federal Reserve typically focuses connected home macroeconomics alternatively than fine, consumer-level details. In its astir caller variation of the Beige Book published successful May, however, the Fed made a constituent of addressing the existent consumer-level divide. It acknowledged that implicit the people of the past fewer weeks, "Higher-income consumers drove beardown request for premium goods and services, with 1 interaction describing a absorption connected 'unapologetic luxury.' " It past contrasted that with: "However, retailers and different consumer-facing businesses noted continued fiscal accent among middle- and lower-income households."

In different words, the alleged K-shaped economical betterment is simply a existent thing.

The Fed isn't the lone enactment to instrumentality announcement of this dynamic, either. The National Association of Realtors and online existent property marketplace Redfin some study a surge successful location purchases valued astatine $1 million-plus this year, contempt the headwind the lower-priced conception of the existent property marketplace is facing. Meanwhile, Bank of America reports that portion each demographics spent much successful May of this twelvemonth than they did successful May of past year, high-income households led the way, with a 5.4% summation versus conscionable implicit a 4% summation for each different households.

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