Wintermute: "Everything Becomes Tradeable" In 2026—Prediction Markets To Replace Insurance

Wintermute Ventures says crypto is becoming the clearing furniture for the net system successful 2026, with prediction markets acceptable to regenerate accepted security by pricing circumstantial risks that were antecedently untradeable.

Prediction markets are moving beyond user products into fiscal tools that regenerate bequest insurance, according to Wintermute’s 2026 outlook.

Instead of buying wide hurricane security for an full region, users tin present hedge against circumstantial upwind speeds successful nonstop locations during defined timeframes.

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These markets terms idiosyncratic risks straight alternatively than bundling them into costly policies.

Wintermute expects caller markets to commercialized measures of perception, sentiment, and corporate opinion—assets that were ne'er priced before.

Stablecoins alteration programmable payments, but the manufacture lacks due colony infrastructure. Too galore antithetic stablecoins crossed chains make friction.

The hole is coordination infrastructure that handles conversion betwixt stablecoins without forcing users to negociate currency risk.

Think of it arsenic banking infrastructure rebuilt for crypto, with colony successful seconds alternatively of days.

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Companies launching tokens without sustainable gross are losing credibility.

Wintermute predicts less token launches astatine inception arsenic teams absorption connected proving concern models first.

When tokens bash launch, they’ll travel aft product-market acceptable is wide with proven revenues. Tokens without wide worth seizure conflict to support request beyond speculation.

Privacy shifted from regulatory liability to enabler. Participants tin beryllium compliance without exposing earthy information done caller cryptographic methods.

Regulatory clarity transitioned from hurdle to organisation channel.

The GENIUS Act successful the US, MiCA successful Europe, and Hong Kong’s stablecoin authorities supply frameworks for bequest institutions to regenerate accepted systems with faster colony rails.

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Infrastructure companies replacing bequest clearing, settlement, and custody functions seizure worth arsenic crypto becomes foundational to the fiscal system.