What a $1,000 Investment in SpaceX at IPO Would Be Worth Today and What Comes Next

1 hour ago 3

Manali Pradhan, CFA, The Motley Fool

Thu, July 30, 2026 astatine 11:59 AM CDT 4 min read

Space Exploration Technologies (NASDAQ: SPCX), amended known arsenic SpaceX, priced shares for $135 successful its June 2026 archetypal nationalist offering (IPO). The banal has since fallen astir 16% to $113.5 arsenic of July 27.

A $1,000 concern astatine the IPO terms would person purchased astir 7.41 shares and would present beryllium worthy astir $841 arsenic of this writing. However, that calculation assumes the capitalist received shares astatine the IPO price, which was not guaranteed for each retail investor. Strong capitalist request and a constricted proviso of publically traded shares helped thrust SpaceX banal higher aft its IPO. Investors reportedly submitted much than $250 cardinal successful orders for the SpaceX IPO, portion little than 5% of the company's shares were initially disposable for trading. The banal aboriginal mislaid overmuch of its aboriginal summation arsenic investors questioned its lofty valuation.

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Against this backdrop, SpaceX's semipermanent stock terms trajectory depends heavy connected whether the Starlink outer net concern tin proceed to turn profitably and the next-generation Starship reusable rocket strategy tin go a reliable commercialized business.

Starlink remains the nett motor

SpaceX's connectivity segment, powered chiefly by Starlink, generated $3.26 cardinal successful gross and $1.19 cardinal successful operating nett successful the archetypal quarter. However, the operating nett tin beryllium misleading due to the fact that SpaceX does not disbursal the afloat outgo of launching Starlink satellites immediately. Instead, it capitalizes those interior outer and motorboat costs successful the Connectivity conception and recognizes them gradually done depreciation. In the archetypal quarter, depreciation from capitalized outer and motorboat costs added $276 cardinal to Connectivity's outgo of revenue.

Anthropic has besides agreed to wage SpaceX $1.25 cardinal per period for computing capableness done May 2029, though fees are little during the May and June 2026 ramp-up period.

While that declaration could yet marque AI a larger root of revenue, the AI conception is inactive loss-making. SpaceX's AI conception posted a $2.47 cardinal operating nonaccomplishment successful the archetypal quarter, showing that rapidly rising compute gross whitethorn not instantly construe into profits. Hence, for now, Connectivity conception remains the company's main root of operating profit.

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