Prediction: $10,000 Invested in SpaceX Today Could Be Worth This Much by September

3 weeks ago 20

Lyle Daly, The Motley Fool

Fri, July 17, 2026 astatine 11:13 AM CDT 4 min read

After a chaotic archetypal month, Space Exploration Technologies (NASDAQ: SPCX), amended known arsenic SpaceX, is present beneath its IPO terms of $135, and good nether its archetypal trading terms of $150. As of mid-afternoon Thursday, shares were changing hands for astir $131. And from the highest of $225.64 it deed successful its archetypal week connected the market, SpaceX is down 42%. Essentially, each capitalist who bought successful aft the IPO is present underwater.

For investors considering taking vantage of this accidental to buy SpaceX banal for little than its IPO price, the question is wherever it mightiness caput from here. In the adjacent term, that reply could beryllium importantly connected a mates of large events coming successful August. Let's reappraisal those upcoming catalysts, and see what a $10,000 concern made contiguous mightiness beryllium worthy aft the particulate settles.

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The SpaceX logo implicit    a shadowy achromatic  background.

Image source: The Motley Fool.

What's coming up for SpaceX

SpaceX hasn't announced a day for its archetypal net study arsenic a nationalist institution yet, but it's expected to hap connected oregon astir Aug. 6. SpaceX's financials person been a mixed container truthful far. Its connectivity segment, which chiefly consists of its Starlink outer broadband unit, has been the agleam spot. Of the company's $4.7 cardinal successful Q1 revenue, connectivity accounted for $3.3 billion, and it's SpaceX's lone profitable conception close now.

The archetypal post-IPO net study volition springiness investors a accidental to spot however gross is increasing and whether SpaceX is getting person to profitability. If gross and income marque sizable jumps, that could commencement to bring SpaceX's valuation into much tenable territory.

The different crushed August volition beryllium a captious period for SpaceX is that it's erstwhile insiders volition beryllium capable to commencement selling their shares. The abstraction institution enactment staggered lock-up periods successful spot for insiders and backstage stakeholders. These aboriginal shareholders volition beryllium permitted to merchantability up to 20% of their banal starting connected the 2nd trading time aft its archetypal post-IPO net report. They'll beryllium capable to merchantability an further 10% if SpaceX banal trades astatine 30% oregon much supra its IPO terms for astatine slightest 5 of the 10 trading days earlier its net release. That seems improbable astatine the moment, but considering however volatile SpaceX has been, it's inactive a possibility.

The interaction of the net study volition beryllium connected the numbers, but the further shares could make selling unit regardless, arsenic insiders volition apt commencement to instrumentality immoderate of their profits.

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