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Sean Williams, The Motley Fool
Wed, May 13, 2026 astatine 6:26 AM CDT 4 min read
Although astir investors are laser-focused connected the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) and Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) hitting all-time highs connected the heels of artificial quality (AI) euphoria, 2026 is besides shaping up to beryllium the twelvemonth of the mega-initial nationalist offering (IPO).
Possibly wrong the adjacent 2 months, investors volition beryllium privy to the largest-ever IPO, SpaceX. Reports person pointed to SpaceX kicking disconnected its IPO roadshow during the week of June 8, placing the debut of Elon Musk's conglomerate successful precocious June, oregon soon thereafter.
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Prediction markets expect SpaceX to apical $2 trillion connected its IPO time
SpaceX ties 2 of the banal market's hottest trends unneurotic nether 1 company: abstraction and AI. McKinsey & Company estimates the planetary abstraction system volition beryllium worthy $1.8 trillion by 2035, portion PwC analysts foresee AI creating $15.7 trillion successful worldwide economical worth by 2030.
The assorted puzzle pieces that comprise SpaceX, including Falcon rockets, Starlink, AI start-up xAI, and societal media level X, should output superior income maturation for the foreseeable future.
According to Polymarket, the world's largest prediction marketplace for real-time events, there's present a 62% accidental (as of May 10) of SpaceX trading supra a $2 trillion valuation astatine the adjacent of its archetypal trading day. The likelihood of SpaceX topping a $2 trillion marketplace headdress connected Polymarket has climbed steadily from 45% successful aboriginal April.
But adjacent if Polymarket's bettors and retail investors are close connected time one, it's just to question whether they've go a spot overzealous astir SpaceX.
Chasing the SpaceX IPO tin origin a satellite of wounded for retail investors
To statesman with, past shows that galore of Wall Street's largest IPOs stumbled retired of the gross aft their debut. For instance, societal media titan Facebook (now Meta Platforms) mislaid 38% of its worth successful the six months pursuing its debut. Saudi Aramco, the world's largest IPO, based connected full currency raised ($29.4 billion), besides tumbled 15% successful the six months aft its archetypal trading day.
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