May 21 Could Be a Terrible Day for AI Titan Nvidia, Based on What History Tells Us

1 hour ago 1

Sean Williams, The Motley Fool

Mon, April 20, 2026 astatine 4:26 AM CDT 4 min read

More than 30 years ago, the advent and proliferation of the net changed the satellite forever. It provided businesses with caller pathways to marketplace and merchantability to customers, and paved the mode for the retail capitalist gyration by breaking down accusation barriers that had existed betwixt Wall Street and Main Street for implicit a century.

Investors person been waiting a agelong clip for the adjacent breakthrough technology, and artificial quality (AI) has answered the call. Empowering bundle and systems with the tools to marque autonomous, split-second decisions is simply a multitrillion-dollar addressable accidental -- and that's each acknowledgment to Nvidia's (NASDAQ: NVDA) hardware.

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But portion Nvidia's graphics processing units (GPUs) are dominating successful AI-accelerated information centers, past suggests a time of reckoning is approaching for its stock.

The Nvidia logo connected  a motion   successful  beforehand   of the company's Voyager headquarters.

Image source: Nvidia.

The look of the AI gyration volition assistance the hood connected its 2027 fiscal first-quarter operating results aft the closing doorbell connected May 20. Based connected the outlook provided by the institution and its CEO, Jensen Huang, it should beryllium different stellar quarter.

When Nvidia reported its fiscal fourth-quarter results successful precocious February, it guided for $78 cardinal successful first-quarter income (plus oregon minus 2%) and a mostly accepted accounting principles (GAAP) gross borderline of 74.9%. This implies 77% income maturation from the comparable 4th past twelvemonth and important GAAP gross borderline improvement.

NVDA Gross Profit Margin (Quarterly) Chart

NVDA Gross Profit Margin (Quarterly) information by YCharts.

Although outer contention is ramping up, Nvidia's GPUs clasp well-defined competitory advantages connected a compute basis. None of its nonstop rivals person travel adjacent to matching the capabilities of its infrastructure, which, erstwhile paired with persistent GPU scarcity, has enabled Nvidia to complaint a premium for its hardware.

Huang has besides made wide that his company's Blackwell and Vera Rubin architectures are connected way to collectively full $1 trillion successful beingness income by the extremity of 2027. Demand for AI infrastructure is overwhelming supply, and Nvidia's GPUs are the undisputed apical prime successful endeavor information centers.

A 20  dollar measure  insubstantial  airplane that's crashed and crumpled into a fiscal  newspaper.

Image source: Getty Images.

Although Nvidia has made a wont of exceeding the statement quarterly gross and nett forecasts of Wall Street analysts, the absorption of the company's banal pursuing net releases suggests that investors' expectations for Nvidia, and possibly AI successful general, are excessively lofty.

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