Is smooth sailing the new outrageous? Saxo releases its annual Outrageous Predictions for 2026

Saxo has erstwhile implicit the years for what whitethorn look astatine archetypal glimpse to beryllium improbable forecasts, coming to pass.

Predictions that were overmuch person to the information than thought:

• Late bloomer: Gold rockets to $3,000 arsenic cardinal banks neglect connected ostentation mandate (OPs for 2022)

• Trump 2.0 blows up the US dollar (OPs for 2025)

• Nvidia balloons to doubly the worth of Apple (OPs for 2025)

• The program to extremity fossil fuels gets a rainfall cheque (OPs for 2022)

• Volatility spikes aft flash clang successful banal markets (OPs for 2018)

• Bitcoin triples successful value, from existent $700 level to $2,100 (OPs for 2017)

• UK seen leaning toward 2017 exit from the EU (Brexit) connected UKIP predetermination landslide (OPs for 2015)

• Gold corrects to $1,200 per ounce (OPs for 2013)

The Saxo forecasts are not a location presumption oregon a forecast; they are low-probability, high-impact thought experiments designed to agelong the imaginativeness and sharpen statement astir what could hap if things leap guardant successful unexpected ways.

“Saxo’s outrageous predictions screen a batch of crushed this year. From a existent extraterrestrial fiscal marketplace and weight-loss drugs for pets to Taylor Swift helping to upend integer addiction among planetary youth, and thing arsenic outrageous arsenic a US governmental lawsuit without turmoil.

While the predictions are ne'er astir being right, but ever astir challenging statement narratives. Perhaps successful 2026, creaseless sailing is the caller outrageous,” says John J. Hardy, planetary caput of macro strategy astatine Saxo.

Saxo's 2026 Outrageous Predictions:

In tech, instrumentality cryptography and ideate what happens if Q-Day abruptly arrives successful 2026, the time that quantum machines tin ace yesterday’s integer locks effortlessly. Crypto collapses; golden screams to 5 figures; each slope and authorities scrambles to rebuild spot successful a post-quantum information stack.

Market impact: Volatility successful quantum computing stocks, IBM, cybersecurity stocks, bitcoin and different integer assets, gold, banks, etc.

In 2026, markets observe that abrupt civilization shifts tin determination macro. A azygous wedding – Swift and Kelce – tips a procreation retired of doomscrolling and into backyards, marriages, and babe carriages. Fertility and household enactment booms. Economists coin a caller operation with a smile: the Swiftie Put.

Market impact: Negative for societal media stocks, affirmative for everything homebuilding/DIY/décor, luxury, wedding venues, destination/travel

In politics, the aggravated partisanship of caller years is abruptly upended aft the disfigured partisan shenanigans successful the US midterm elections daze the soundless bulk of independents into demanding betterment and a strengthening of antiauthoritarian institutions. Trump stays Trump, but America begins to determination on.