Ricardo Pillai
Sat, March 21, 2026 astatine 4:11 PM CDT 3 min read
Is MELI a bully banal to buy? We came crossed a bullish thesis on MercadoLibre, Inc. on Compounding Your Wealth’s Substack by Sergey. In this article, we volition summarize the bulls’ thesis on MELI. MercadoLibre, Inc.'s share was trading astatine $1,732.33 as of March 16th. MELI’s trailing and forward P/E were 43.97 and 25.77 respectively according to Yahoo Finance.
MercadoLibre, Inc. operates online commerce platforms successful Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, and internationally. MELI continues to solidify its presumption arsenic a ascendant determination super-app, integrating commerce, payments, and recognition crossed Latin America, portion sustaining beardown maturation momentum with ~31.4% next-twelve-month gross expansion. In Q3 2025, the institution delivered 39% year-over-year gross growth—its 27th consecutive 4th exceeding 30%—with operating income rising 30% to $724 million, reflecting ongoing operating leverage contempt elevated reinvestment successful logistics subsidies, recognition expansion, and macro headwinds successful Argentina.
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Commerce trends were peculiarly beardown successful Brazil, wherever lowering the escaped shipping threshold drove a crisp acceleration successful items sold to 42% growth, supported by improved idiosyncratic engagement and purchasing behavior, portion standard efficiencies reduced portion shipping costs by 8% sequentially. Mexico, Chile, and Colombia besides contributed meaningfully, with accelerating GMV growth, declining fulfillment costs, and rising marketplace share, portion first-party income surged 71% FX-neutral to code assortment gaps.
Fintech remains a halfway differentiator, arsenic Mercado Pago continues to standard with rising monthly progressive users, beardown lawsuit satisfaction, and disciplined recognition expansion, evidenced by historically debased default rates and expanding profitability crossed maturing recognition cohorts successful Brazil.
Although Mexico and Argentina are earlier successful their recognition lifecycle and measurement connected near-term margins, idiosyncratic maturation remains robust, with full progressive buyers reaching astir 75 million. Despite ongoing macroeconomic unit successful Argentina, absorption remains focused connected semipermanent growth, with margins expected to grow arsenic logistics efficiencies amended and fintech investments mature, reinforcing MELI’s compelling semipermanent concern case.
Previously, we covered a bullish thesis connected MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI) by Daan | InvestInsights successful May 2025, which highlighted the company’s dominance successful Latin America’s e-commerce and fintech markets, beardown idiosyncratic growth, and semipermanent integer adoption tailwinds. MELI’s banal terms has depreciated by astir 32.98% since our coverage, driven by capitalist concerns implicit borderline compression from assertive reinvestment successful logistics and fintech, on with macro hazard successful cardinal markets, which unneurotic pressured near-term profitability expectations contempt continued beardown growth. Sergey shares a akin presumption but emphasizes connected operating leverage, logistics efficiencies, and fintech recognition maturity driving borderline expansion.

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