Is It Too Late to Buy Eli Lilly Stock? Here's What $1,000 Invested Today Could Be Worth in 10 Years.

4 weeks ago 22

Justin Pope, The Motley Fool

Tue, July 7, 2026 astatine 7:30 AM CDT 4 min read

Obesity drugs mightiness beryllium the hottest maturation communicative successful healthcare close now. GLP-1 agonists and akin drugs promote value nonaccomplishment for managing obesity and treating benignant 2 diabetes. The viral occurrence of Mounjaro and Zepbound has made Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) a location tally winner. The stock's 160% tally implicit the past 3 years has been a windfall for investors.

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But this communicative isn't over. Research from Morgan Stanley estimates that the obesity cause marketplace volition proceed to surge, from astir $15 cardinal successful 2024 to arsenic overmuch arsenic $150 cardinal by 2035. Here's however Eli Lilly tin proceed to pb implicit the adjacent decade, and however that could interaction the stock.

Obesity cause momentum should proceed

Believe it oregon not, obesity drugs are conscionable starting to deed their stride. Up until a fewer months ago, each the starring drugs were subcutaneous, meaning patients had to inject them. Eli Lilly conscionable precocious launched Foundayo successful the United States successful April. It's the company's archetypal pill-form obesity drug, and the 2nd to marketplace down arch-rival Novo Nordisk's Wegovy pill. Many patients similar pills to needles, truthful look for oral treatments to propulsion the obesity cause marketplace to caller heights.

Patient lasting  connected  a value   standard  with a measuring portion    successful  beforehand   of it.

Image source: Getty Images.

That said, subcutaneous drugs volition stay fashionable owed to their bioavailability and efficacy. Eli Lilly's Retatrutide is simply a next-generation subcutaneous triple-receptor agonist presently successful late-stage objective testing. It could person monolithic commercialized imaginable owed to the beardown weight-loss results it has achieved successful its objective trials. Assuming it reaches the market, it and Foundayo correspond caller patent-protected catalysts that could thrust income maturation for years to come.

Where the banal whitethorn spell from present

Understandably, Wall Street expects large things from Eli Lilly successful the future. Analysts estimation the institution volition turn net by an mean of 22% annually implicit the adjacent 3 to 5 years. To physique immoderate conservatism into the mathematics here, I'll presume that Eli Lilly grows net astatine an annualized complaint of 15% implicit the adjacent decade. That seems ambitious but realistic, fixed the income imaginable of Foundayo and Retatrutide successful a soaring obesity cause market.

Applying that utilizing the existent statement 2026 net estimates of $35.60 per stock arsenic twelvemonth 1, it would look similar this:

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