History Says This Is What Happens When a Stock Joins the Nasdaq-100

1 hour ago 1

Todd Shriber, The Motley Fool

Mon, July 6, 2026 astatine 6:27 AM CDT 4 min read

Membership has its privileges. Space Exploration Technologies (NASDAQ: SPCX) investors are hoping that's the lawsuit regarding the stock's July 7 inclusion successful the Nasdaq-100 Index.

A speedy refresher: Before what was the largest archetypal nationalist offering (IPO) successful history, Nasdaq and respective different scale providers embraced "fast track" rules, paving the mode for SpaceX to articulation assorted gauges much rapidly than usual. In the lawsuit of the Nasdaq-100, the scale opened the doorway for SpaceX (and perchance different ample IPOs successful the future) to articulation the benchmark aft 15 trading days. For Elon Musk's company, that time is July 7.

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That's a large woody due to the fact that the Nasdaq-100 usually adds and removes stocks lone erstwhile a year, connected the 3rd Friday of December. Now, SpaceX isn't conscionable joining a wide followed index; it volition beryllium added to funds tracking that gauge, including exchange-traded funds (ETFs) specified arsenic the Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ: QQQ) and the Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (NASDAQ: QQQM). That's nary tiny feat because, arsenic measured by assets nether management, the Invesco QQQ Trust is the fifth-largest ETF trading successful the U.S., portion its stablemate is successful the apical 25.

But does it substance to investors straight holding SpaceX today? The reply is "maybe."

Nasdaq-100 inclusion could spark SpaceX

Market past isn't guaranteed to repeat, but it's worthy noting that the emblematic Nasdaq-100 summation gains astir 1% implicit the 5 days spanning the announcement and its eventual inclusion successful the index. That doesn't see antithetic circumstances, specified arsenic the additions of Moderna and Zoom Communications during the tallness of the coronavirus pandemic.

It was wide known that SpaceX would beryllium added to the Nasdaq-100, but the banal inactive rallied 2.7% implicit the 5 days ending July 2. Another humanities footnote worthy observing: From 2010 done 2024, the mean Nasdaq-100 summation gained 3.8% implicit the pursuing 90 days. A twelvemonth out, stocks joining the Nasdaq-100 averaged an upside of 12%.

SpaceX isn't beholden to that history. It could outperform oregon lag the 90-day and 12-month averages. Fundamentals, including net and gross growth, motorboat data, and capitalist sentiment, volition find SpaceX's show pursuing its summation to the famed tech-heavy index.

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