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Sam Daodu
Fri, March 13, 2026 astatine 12:03 PM CDT 6 min read
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The crypto Fear & Greed Index spent 34 days beneath 25, hitting an all-time debased of 5 connected February 6, and the lone 2 erstwhile streaks this agelong led to XRP rallies of 1,300% and 1,100%.
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XRP whales added 1.3 cardinal tokens successful 48 hours successful aboriginal March portion $738 cardinal successful XRP near exchanges connected March 10, matching the accumulation patterns that preceded some anterior utmost fearfulness rallies.
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A 1,000%+ rally from $1.40 would propulsion XRP supra $15 and necessitate a marketplace headdress implicit $900 billion.
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The crypto Fear & Greed Index deed an all-time debased of 5 connected February 6, 2026, which is little than the 6 recorded during the Terra/Luna collapse, 8 successful the COVID crash, and 10 pursuing the FTX implosion.
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The scale has spent astir of the past 34 days beneath 25, showing it is heavy successful utmost fearfulness territory. A streak this agelong has lone happened doubly since the crypto scale launched successful 2018, and astatine some times, XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) rallied implicit 1,000% successful the months and years that followed.
On March 12, the scale climbed to 26 for the archetypal clip since aboriginal February, which could beryllium the earliest motion that sentiment is starting to turn. XRP is hovering astir $1.40 aft falling 14% since the commencement of February, and with the marketplace sentiment being successful a akin utmost fearfulness play arsenic past rallies, tin the XRP terms rally 1,000% again this time?
The Fear & Greed Index compresses volatility, trading volume, societal media sentiment, Bitcoin dominance, and Google Trends into a azygous fig betwixt 0 and 100. Below 25 means utmost fear, 26 to 49 is fear, 50 to 74 is greed, and supra 75 is utmost greed. Crypto markets typically walk lone 15% to 20% of their clip beneath 25, truthful 34 days determination means the marketplace sentiment has been successful utmost fearfulness for a agelong period.
The broader marketplace selloff was already underway erstwhile the utmost fearfulness streak started successful aboriginal February. Bitcoin had dropped 47% from its October 2025 peak, Kevin Warsh's information arsenic Fed Chair connected January 30 added uncertainty, and XRP ETF inflows slowed sharply aft topping $1 cardinal successful their archetypal 2 months. The US-Israeli strikes connected Iran connected February 28 besides made things worse. Even Ripple joining Mastercard's Crypto Partner Program connected March 11 and CME expanding its crypto futures suite connected February 9 failed to assistance sentiment.
The past 2 times the scale stayed this debased for this long, XRP was astatine prices that would aboriginal look similar generational entries. In March 2020, the scale deed 8 with XRP astatine $0.14, and it rallied 1,300% to $1.96 implicit the adjacent 13 months. In June 2022, the scale deed 6 with XRP astatine $0.30, and portion the betterment was slow—57% successful 12 months, partially due to the fact that of the unresolved SEC lawsuit—XRP yet reached $3.65 by July 2025, signaling a summation of implicit 1,100%.
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