CGI Inc. (GIB): A Bull Case Theory

3 days ago 5

Ricardo Pillai

Thu, December 4, 2025 astatine 11:17 AM CST 3 min read

We came across a bullish thesis connected CGI Inc. connected Beat the TSX (BTSX-20)’s Substack by Beat the TSX-27 Strategy.. In this article, we volition summarize the bulls’ thesis connected GIB. CGI Inc.'s stock was trading astatine $88.53 arsenic of November 28th. GIB’s trailing and guardant P/E were 16.92 and 13.93 respectively according to Yahoo Finance.

Formula Systems Posted Record Q2 successful  2025, Then Sold Sapiens to Advent

Formula Systems Posted Record Q2 successful 2025, Then Sold Sapiens to Advent

CGI Inc. provides accusation exertion and concern process services successful Western and Southern Europe, the United States, Canada, Scandinavia, Northwest and Central-East Europe, the United Kingdom, Australia, Germany, Finland, Poland, Baltics, and the Asia Pacific. GIB delivered a beardown Q4/25 performance, demonstrating the dependable execution and disciplined superior allocation that specify its semipermanent compounding model.

Revenue roseate 9.7% year-over-year, portion adjusted EPS accrued 10.9%, highlighting the company’s quality to turn profitably adjacent arsenic IFRS margins were temporarily distorted by restructuring costs. Bookings were peculiarly robust astatine $4.79 billion, translating to a 119% book-to-bill ratio, underscoring sustained lawsuit request and the increasing interaction of AI-embedded managed services. The backlog reached $31.45 billion, adjacent to 2 years of revenue, providing a wide enactment of show to maturation implicit the adjacent 24–36 months.

Management’s disciplined approach—combining backlog, strategical M&A of $1.8 billion, and assertive buybacks totaling $1.275 billion—continued to present shareholder value. The institution besides raised its dividend by 13%, signaling confidence successful aboriginal currency flows. AI and managed services remain the superior maturation engine, driving efficiencies, higher-margin work, and lawsuit renewals. Margins are normalizing present that restructuring is complete, portion escaped currency flow remains elite astatine 16.5% of revenue. Despite marketplace headwinds and short-term perception challenges, CGI maintains a high-quality recurring gross base, heavy lawsuit relationships, and a systematic M&A strategy that has historically proven accretive.

Valuation metrics, including a PE ratio of 16—levels past seen successful 2014 and 2020—combined with a 13.6% instrumentality connected invested capital, suggest the banal is attractively priced comparative to its semipermanent potential. With a beardown equilibrium sheet, predictable currency generation, and ongoing buybacks, CGI represents a classical BTSX-27 compounder. The company’s accordant execution and resilient concern exemplary marque it a compelling buy-to-equal-weight opportunity, offering constricted downside and important upside should AI adoption further accelerate its growth.


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