Sam Daodu
Sun, August 2, 2026 astatine 4:39 PM CDT 8 min read
Quick Read
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Bitcoin has shed fractional its worth from a $126,000 highest and trades astatine $63,000, with underwater buyers capping each rally adjacent $65,500.
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August is Bitcoin's worst calendar period historically, with a median nonaccomplishment of 7% that could resistance BTC backmost toward its June debased of $58,000.
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Futures traders terms a 60% accidental of a September complaint hike, making August ostentation information connected the 12th and Warsh's Jackson Hole code the cardinal catalysts.
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Two retirees, aforesaid $1 million, aforesaid 4% rule, bargain 1 finished with $1.4 million, the different deed $0 successful 12 years. Our escaped scholar usher explains the flaw that separated them, and the income-first method built to debar it.
Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) peaked astatine $126,000 successful October 2025 and has mislaid fractional its worth since then. It traded astatine $87,500 astatine the commencement of January and fell 34% successful the archetypal six months of the year, and bottomed astatine $58,000 connected July 1, which is its lowest terms successful 21 months.
Bitcoin past recovered 13% disconnected that debased done July, reaching $65,500, but it could not clasp the gains and closed the period astatine $63,700. The fig 1 cryptocurrency trades astatine $63,000 today, and investors are wondering whether it could reclaim $70,000 this August. But BTC has closed August successful the reddish successful each of the past 4 years, truthful volition that alteration this year?
Why $65,500 Is Capping Every Bitcoin Rally
Bitcoin past traded beneath $60,000 successful October 2024, and it held supra that level for the adjacent 20 months. Every clip the BTC terms fell adjacent to $60,000, the bulls came to the rescue and bought capable to propulsion it backmost up, which is wherefore traders came to dainty $60,000 arsenic the level nether the market.
The 4% Rule is Broken, Built On A World That No Longer Exists
Every retiree knows astir the 4% rule, but it frames status arsenic a dilatory liquidation and inactive causes retirees with seven-figure accounts to agonize implicit a meal out.
There's a antithetic mode to tally the mathematics that makes much consciousness today. Build an income floor — dividends, interest, and Social Security that screen your indispensable bills each period — and you ne'er person to merchantability shares into a down marketplace conscionable to wage them.
Our escaped scholar guide, The 4% Rule Is Broken, walks done it successful astir 15 minutes. Access the study here.
But that level broke successful June, erstwhile Bitcoin fell from astir $67,000 to $59,100 betwixt June 4 and 6, wiping retired much than $3 cardinal successful leveraged positions successful 48 hours. BTC slid again to $58,035 connected June 25, which marks its lowest terms since September 2024. Bitcoin closed the period down astir 20%, which is its worst period since June 2022.

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