William Foxley
Tue, July 28, 2026 astatine 8:44 AM CDT 3 min read
B. Riley Securities reiterated its Buy standing and $66 terms people for Applied Digital (NASDAQ: APLD) aft the AI infrastructure developer reported fiscal fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $42.4 million. The effect exceeded B. Riley's $24.6 cardinal estimation and the $25.6 cardinal statement forecast.
Applied Digital reported $258.7 cardinal successful gross for the 4th ended May 31, including $152.4 cardinal from tenant fit-out services. B. Riley said those fit-out payments helped thrust the EBITDA beat, portion HPC basal rent of $44.1 cardinal matched its estimate.
B. Riley based its appraisal connected an improving operation grounds and expectations that aboriginal capableness volition bid higher lease rates. Applied Digital delivered the archetypal signifier of Building 2 astatine Polaris Forge 1 connected June 30, adding 75 MW connected docket and expanding unrecorded capableness astatine the field to 175 MW.
B. Riley described the transportation arsenic grounds that Applied Digital tin execute its larger improvement pipeline. Building 2 took 12 months to complete, compared with 24 months for the archetypal building, a simplification absorption attributed to amended operation sequencing.
Higher lease rates underpin the Buy standing
Applied Digital is negotiating leases covering 100 MW of uncontracted capableness astatine Polaris Forge 2 and 150 MW of enlargement capableness crossed Delta Forge 1 and Delta Forge 2. B. Riley expects the imaginable agreements to transportation higher rates than the existing leases, though each 250 MW remains nether negotiation.
The institution has astir 1.4 GW of contracted IT load crossed 5 campuses, supporting astir $36 cardinal of base-term revenue, according to the bank. U.S.-based investment-grade hyperscalers backmost much than 70% of contracted revenue, a setup B. Riley sees arsenic supportive of financing presumption and durable lease currency flows.
Borrowing costs person already declined. Applied Digital priced $2.15 cardinal of elder secured notes backing 200 MW astatine Polaris Forge 2 with a 6.750% coupon, beneath the 9.250% coupon connected its bequest notes owed successful 2030. B. Riley expects financing costs could amended further arsenic campuses participate work and tenant recognition supports the projects.
Power proviso represents different portion of the bank's thesis. Applied Digital owns astir 10% of Base Electron, which is processing astir 1.2 GW of natural-gas procreation successful the Dakotas with determination inferior partners. B. Riley said that generation, alongside existing inferior relationships, could let existent campuses to grow beyond their contracted capableness erstwhile much powerfulness becomes available.

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